How TMDG works

See the whole problem. Find the path forward.

A better path often starts by seeing what the apparent choice leaves out.

Five domains around the question Science and patient at the top, regulatory strategy, capital and leadership below, all five on one connected ring around the question. SCIENCE PATIENT CAPITAL LEADERSHIP REGULATORY THE QUESTION

The most important questions rarely belong to one function.

  • SCIENCEIs the biology real, and can it be made?
  • PATIENTWho receives it, and can they?
  • CAPITALWho funds this, on what terms, at what stage?
  • REGULATORYWhat evidence does the approving body require?
  • LEADERSHIPWho decides, with what authority, on what cadence?

Science and patient sit at the two ends of the arc: what the therapy is, and who actually receives it. Capital, regulatory strategy and leadership are how a program travels from one to the other. Programs move with the most confidence when a decision is settled across all five domains together.

How a decision gets made.

Find the load

Start with the impact that matters. Surface what must be true, then identify which assumptions carry the most downstream weight.

Work the problem

Connect the system around the question. Test the evidence, alternatives and dependencies before committing to a path.

Decide and build forward

Converge when the evidence is sufficient. Record why, be clear about what would justify reopening it, and carry the learning forward.

The Load-Bearing Questions

Two questions, asked across all five.

What impact do you want to have? What would have to be true for it to work? Asked in each domain, those two questions surface the assumptions a plan is quietly standing on.

Every assumption has a basis, the evidence that supports it, and a load, what else fails if it turns out to be wrong. Most plans record the first and never measure the second. Work the plan without the assumption and see what falls.

Read The Load-Bearing Questions →
“Our next financing will follow the Phase 2 readout.”
Load: the runway, the trial timeline and the financing plan all fail together if it slips.
“The voucher will fund the next program.”
Load: the business case, the entity plan and the investor story all rest on an award not yet made.
“The organization that ran one trial can run three.”
Load: decision rights, vendor architecture and the board’s line of sight all have to change at once.

Decisions that hold.

Progress compounds when a decision, once made, holds. When a new stakeholder arrives or the reasoning behind a choice is lost, the question can quietly open again.

TMDG treats convergence as part of the work. A decision is reached deliberately, recorded with its reasoning, and reopened only when new evidence gives a reason to.

Read Who Actually Decides →   The depth behind the work →

The method at work.

What are you working through?

A finished brief is not needed. I read every message myself and reply with the two questions I would ask first. If I am not the right person, I will tell you who is.

Roberta Duncan, Founder and Principal

Confidential, and NDA-first if you prefer.
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