You are not short of expertise. You are short of a mechanism that lets expertise resolve into a decision, across functions that each hold one piece of it and none of the whole. Add a modality nobody in the building has taken to a regulator before, a partnership whose incentives were never really aligned, and a program that many people privately have doubts about, and the constraint becomes obvious. It is not capability. It is judgment that spans the seams.
Scale does not remove these questions. It distributes them across enough functions that no single owner ever holds the whole answer.
Many portfolio processes are review rituals: well attended, thoroughly documented, and slow to redirect. The test is simple: when did this system last stop a program that had a senior advocate?
Governance and decision architecture · stage-gate systems · portfolio councils · probability-of-success frameworks · prioritization criteria
Bringing in a new modality (for example, mRNA or editing) into an established organization reshapes regulatory precedent, CMC and comparability, supply, IP, and the internal capabilities you assumed were transferable.
Modality entry strategy · novel-modality regulatory precedent · CMC and comparability · capability gap assessment · build versus partner
Most partnership disappointment traces back to terms that aligned on price and diverged on incentive. That is a structuring problem, and it is far cheaper to solve before signature than after.
In-licensing and partnership structuring · public-private partnership design · CDMO strategy · transaction diligence · alliance governance
Large organizations rarely lack the information. They lack a person with standing, no stake in the outcome, and no reporting line into the function that would be embarrassed by the answer.
Independent program assessment · recovery and turnaround · resequencing · executive and board counsel · interim program leadership · integrated development replanning
As the executive accountable for the portfolio, the partnership, and the modality transition inside them.
Chief Strategy Officer at a Nasdaq-listed self-amplifying mRNA company, leading a $4.6B multi-pathogen program. Previously head of portfolio and program management for a global influenza business, including a $1.4B franchise and a $1.5B self-amplifying mRNA platform.
Oversaw diligence and structuring of a multi-billion-dollar sa-mRNA platform in-license spanning COVID-19, influenza, pandemic preparedness and three further respiratory pathogens, with transaction architecture aligning partner incentives with public-health objectives. Oversaw a BARDA-funded H5N1 preparedness program and a $451M alliance with CEPI, GAVI and a sovereign government.
Delivered pediatric age-indication expansion across the FDA, CHMP, MHRA and TGA simultaneously, and secured a preferential 65+ recommendation in the United Kingdom. At BMS, accountable across ipilimumab, nivolumab and daclatasvir submissions.
On many occasions, I have been the internal advocate arguing for a program and the executive who had to stop one. Both experiences inform how I frame a recommendation for an organization that has to live with it afterwards.
These open the matching situation on the main site.
A new modality →A deal to get right →From programs to a portfolio →
Two papers drawn from operating work at scale, as supporting evidence for the capability above.
Who Actually Decides →From One Trial to a Portfolio →All insights →
An assessment of how portfolio decisions are actually made, followed by the stage-gate architecture, criteria and cadence that let the organization stop things. Built to be run by your people, not by me.
Fixed fee or phased · typically six to ten weeks
A defined piece of work on a specific question: entering a new modality, structuring an in-license or partnership, assessing a target, or designing a public-private arrangement.
Fixed fee · scoped to the question
A candid read on a program under pressure, delivered to the executive sponsor or the board, with a recovery plan or a stop recommendation and the reasoning behind whichever it is.
Fixed fee · typically three to six weeks · board-ready
On independence. The value of an outside read is that it has no reporting line. I will agree the sponsor and the disclosure path with you at the outset.
For two things internal teams structurally cannot supply: a view that crosses functions without carrying any of their incentives, and precedent from organizations you do not compete with. Where your internal capability is genuinely sufficient, I will say so rather than manufacture a mandate.
A written conflict check before engagement, and I decline where a live relationship touches your programs.
Yes. I work under client paper routinely, including standard master services agreements, data protection terms and compliance onboarding. Fees are fixed and scoped in advance, which usually makes the procurement path straightforward.
Deliverables prepared for you are yours. Pre-existing frameworks and methodologies remain mine and are licensed to you for use. That boundary goes in writing before the work starts so nobody discovers it later.
Where that is the right structure, yes. For independent assessments it usually is not, because a read that reports into the function being assessed is not independent. We agree the reporting line at the outset.
Founder and Principal, The Modeste Duncan Group
Every engagement runs on TMDG’s Load-Bearing Questions: two questions applied across the five domains that carry a decision. You get a firm’s method and a principal’s judgment on the same call.
What is the decision in front of you? Two or three sentences is enough. I’ll come back with the two questions I would ask first, and what evidence would settle them. No pitch, no obligation. Give me enough context to be useful to your objective, and if we do speak afterwards, we both start ahead.
The decision, the functions involved, and what has already been tried. Confidentiality first, and under your paper if you prefer.
Prefer not to use a form?
Confidentiality first. TMDG works NDA-first as a matter of course, with a written conflict check before any engagement begins. If I have a conflict, I will tell you at the outset.